What influences a person’s decision to vote? And can we trust data from polling projections? Ahead of the 2024 U.S. elections, Jaroslav Tir, professor of political science at CU Boulder and IBS fellow, and Shane Singh, Joshua W. Jones professor of public and international affairs and director of graduate studies in International Affairs at the University of Georgia, set out to examine American voting behavior. Specifically, they examined how recent exposure to US security threat news impacted voter’s motivation to hit the polls. Their results can be found in the London School of Economics and Political Science’s United States Politics and Policy blog.
Tir expanded on his findings with CU Boulder Today’s Bradley Worrell. He discusses how much we can trust pre-election polls and what factors to consider.