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Menken Distinguished Lecture in Population Studies with Deborah Balk
January 19, 2023 @ 3:30 pm - 5:00 pm
Title: Confronting the Rising Tide: Population Exposure, Change and Prospects in Low-lying Coastal Areas
Abstract: Globally, one in ten persons live in low-lying areas proximate to the seacoast and thus at heightened risk of seaward hazards increasingly associated with climate change. Of even greater concern is that one in eight city-dwellers find themselves in this position. Where, in particular, and why? This talk will present an overview of ongoing research that describes 25 years of change in global population and urbanization at risk of seaward hazards, describing where and under what conditions that risk has been most pronounced. It will then showcase new research focusing on the United States examining an even longer time period, and describe who among us is more likely to be at risk. Spoiler alert: Populations living at risk of seaward hazards are far from randomly distributed, both globally and within the United States. Most notably, historically disadvantaged populations, urban dwellers, and those in deltaic regions are disproportionately vulnerable to the rising tide experienced throughout the world. Importantly, these populations at risk have been growing at a faster rate. This talk will speculate as to the reasons for these changes and this disproportionate vulnerability, and the implications for future growth and climate adaptation.
Bio: Deborah Balk is a Professor of Public Affairs in the Marxe School of Public and International Affairs at Baruch College and at the Graduate Center at the City University of New York and Director of the CUNY Institute of Demographic Research. She was a 2016 Andrew Carnegie Fellow. She received her PhD in Demography from UC Berkeley and a Master’s in Public Policy from the University of Michigan.
Using a spatial demographic lens (combining population and remote-sensing data), she studies a wide range of demographic and health outcomes, poverty and vulnerability. She is a pioneer in the spatial modeling of urbanization, and was the lead developer of the Global Rural Urban Mapping Project (GRUMP) and co-developer of the first global Low Elevation Coastal Zone (LECZ) data sets, which allowed for the estimation of urban population at risk of climate-change hazards.
She currently serves as Co-Chair on the New York City Panel on Climate Change’s 4th Assessment, a member of Society and Economy Working Group of the New York State Climate Impacts Assessment, a member of the US Census Bureau’s Scientific Advisory Committee, and a member of the National Academy of Sciences Committee on Population.