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Op-Ed in the New York Times about reducing school violence.

Our very own Center for the Study and Prevention of Violence and Blueprints Program were highlighted in a New York Times op-ed. 

The Center for Prevention of Violence at the University of Colorado at Boulder’s Blueprint Programs offers options for classroom instruction, small group meetings, therapeutic support that help kids stay away from everything from violence, and drug use to risky sexual behaviors.

Read the full article at https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/06/opinion/school-shootings-security-violence.html

Robbee Wedow – Highlighted in the Daily Camera

See below article from the Daily Camera highlighting IBS and IBG graduate student Robbee Wedow's work.  For the full research article, click here.

July 24, 2018

CU Boulder researchers have role in groundbreaking genetics study

By Charlie Brennan

http://www.dailycamera.com/cu-news/ci_32026558/cu-boulder-researchers-have-role-groundbreaking-genetics-study

Posted:   07/23/2018 10:34:11 AM MDT; Updated:   07/24/2018 05:54:00 AM MDT

University of Colorado scientists have contributed to a study that identified more than 1,200 genetic variants associated with how much schooling a person completes, and developed a "polygenic score" predictive of more than 11 percent of the variation in individuals' educational attainment.

Drawing data from more than 1.1 million participants in 15 countries, the study is billed as being among the largest human genetics studies to date.

The study's authors say their results offer a new perspective on the role that genetics play in influencing complex human behaviors.

"It moves us in a clearer direction in understanding the genetic architecture of complex behavior traits like educational attainment," said co-first author Robbee Wedow, a graduate student in CU's Department of Sociology and researcher with the Institute for Behavioral Genetics, according to a news release.

The researchers stressed that individual gene variants have little predictive value.

"It would be completely misleading to characterize our results as identifying genes for education," corresponding author Daniel Benjamin, an associate professor at the Center for Economic and Social Research at University of Southern California, said in a statement.

Combined, the 1,271 variants explain about 4 percent of the variation in educational attainment across individuals. But when scientists included the effects of all of the variants they measured across the genome to develop a new polygenic score, they found that the score was predictive of 11 percent to 13 percent of variation in years of completed schooling.

The study was published today in the journal Nature Genetics.

Charlie Brennan: 303-473-1327, brennanc@dailycamera.com or twitter.com/chasbrennan

Sharon Mihalic Retirement

Congratulations to Sharon Mihalic!

On June 19, Sharon Mihalic’s long and distinguished career in the Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS) was celebrated. She retires effective July 1, 2018. Sharon, a Senior Research Associate in the Program on Problem Behavior, has served as an Investigator, CO-PI or PI on major Federal and Foundation grants for 28 years. Her early work was on the National Youth Survey and an experimental evaluation of the effectiveness of an interlock ignition device as a deterrent to drunk driving. She published two seminal articles from this early work, one on the epidemiology of marital violence and a second on the relationship between adolescent work and delinquent behavior. From 1998 to 2018 Sharon was the CO-PI and Director of the Blueprints for Violence Prevention Project, funded by a series of a multimillion-dollar grants from the U.S. Department of Justice, The Annie E. Casey Foundation and The Laura and John Arnold Foundation. Between 2006 and 2018, Sharon organized and managed seven national Blueprints Conferences, attracting over 600 national and international participants for each event. She received additional multimillion-dollar research grants from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Altria Foundation, serving as the PI on these projects during her career in IBS. She published regularly on her work and was awarded the Science to Practice Award from the Society for Prevention Research in 2009 and the Pioneer in Prevention Award at the 2018 Blueprints National Conference. All present at the celebration applauded Sharon for her remarkable career and contributions to the Program and wished her well in her retirement.

Written by Dr. Delbert Elliott, Distinguished Professor Emeritus of Sociology and Founding Director of the Center for the Study and Prevention of Violence at the University of Colorado Boulder

Dr. Jane Menken – Keyfitz Lecture in Mathematics and the Social Sciences

On April 12, 2018, Dr. Jane Menken lectured at the Fields Institue for Research in Mathematical Sciences in Toronto, Ontario for their Keyfitz lecture series in Mathematics and the Social Sciences.  The abstract is below, and please watch the video of the lecture by clicking here

Abstract:

Nathan Keyfitz was one of a very small group – Raymond Pearl, Alfred Lotka, Ansley Coale, Mindel Sheps, Jean Bourgeois Pichat, William Brass – renowned for their applications of mathematics to understanding population issues. Keyfitz and Sheps, both Canadians, were born in Montreal and Winnipeg respectively.

Sheps and I, following in their footsteps, developed mathematical models that illuminate the determinants of fertility and family building in both developing and developed countries. One of our first questions was why, comparing French Canadians to Indian and Bangladeshi women, none of whom used contraception, the French Canadians could average over a dozen children while South Asian women, in the same reproductive period, averaged under seven. We were able to consider the relative roles of both biological and social practices in controlling fertility. I will discuss these contributions of mathematics – some of them quite surprising – to understanding human fertility, how they provided direction for essential data collection, and some of my own later studies – in places as diverse as Bangladesh and Colorado – that they inspired.

Hannah Brenkert-Smith Research Featured in Colorado A&S Magazine

IBS Environment and Society researcher Dr. Hannah Brenkert-Smith had her research featured in the University of Colorado Boulder Arts and Sciences Magazine in an article entiteld "To confront wildfire risk, experts get social" by Cay Leytham-Powell. Some of the article is featured below, for the full article, click here. 

For the community of Mountain Village in southwestern Colorado, it was all about the trees.

Anything that involved cutting down trees was a non-starter for this picturesque community near Telluride, according to the town council’s understanding at the time. Residents just weren't willing to get rid of them, they argued, even to reduce wildfire risk. A group of researchers and wildfire practitioners—or the Wildfire Research (WiRē) team—however, saw this challenge as an opportunity to do things a little bit different.

The team—which includes sociologists, economists and wildfire mitigation specialists (or wildfire practitioners) with ties both to the University of Colorado Boulder and federal agencies throughout Colorado—surveyed local residents and quickly disproved the conventional wisdom. In fact, 77 percent of Mountain Village respondents reported being willing to remove their trees to reduce wildfire risk and help protect their homes.

With data in hand, a member of the WiRē team and the director of a regional wildfire organization, Lilia Falk (Geog'10) of the West Region Wildfire Council, went to the town council and showed them that not only were a majority of respondents willing to remove trees to reduce wildfire risk, but that they felt there were both perceived barriers and distinct motivations for completing this work.

Mountain Village, much like other mountain communities throughout Colorado, was struggling to reconcile two apparently competing goals: making itself safer from wildfire while also preserving the beauty that draws many of its residents. And it is this tension, that while wildfire is a natural phenomenon, learning to live with wildfire is social—and social solutions are also needed to save lives and property—that the WiRē team hopes to address.

"As a nation, we're spending a lot of time, money and resources suppressing fires—especially fires that threaten homes and communities. But the human condition is such that humans choose to build in those areas. Humans choose. So, just the concept that, yes, it is a hazardous fuels issue, yes, it is a structure issue, but its first and foremost a social issue that needs to be addressed," said Falk.

Learning how to not only prepare for wildfires, but also live alongside them, is a difficult task, and one that the WiRē team hopes to help residents living in the wildland-urban interface—the transitional area between vegetation and homes—overcome through a combination of social science research and on-the-ground work, all to create more wildfire adapted communities.

They accomplish this through the systematic collection of household data via surveys. The team then pairs those data with parcel-by-parcel wildfire risk assessments, which are completed by professional wildfire mitigation specialists. From there, the team’s researchers analyze the findings and generate reports about the community and their relationship to wildfire, including residents’ risk perception, wildfire experience and their opinions of wildfire and mitigation work.

These reports, and the data within them, are then used by the team to craft useful products for the practitioners, including presentations, infographics and story synopses to help facilitate community conversations, and help expand the social science literature around wildfire adaptation and mitigation.

The collaboration, though, doesn’t end there. The researchers and practitioners use this as a jumping off point, continuing to work together to figure out how they can fine tune their research questions and create new programs aimed at improving wildfire preparedness.

Thus far, the team has collected data from roughly 80 communities across Colorado and has garnered about 6,000 risk assessment observations, predominantly in southwest and southcentral Colorado, with no plans of stopping.

One way they're expanding their work is by creating the WiRē Center—a non-profit outgrowth of the team. The center looks to help garner resources to further the goals of the group and to support more research-practitioner partnerships across Colorado and beyond.

This multi-faceted approach is especially important as wildfires grow in size and intensity, and more people move into the wildland-urban interface.

Wildfires are usually approached in the United States with a focus on mitigation (attempting to reduce the damage or risk of wildfires), and suppression (putting a fire out when it does occur). Homeowners and landowners are often encouraged to take care of their own property to reduce wildfire risk, but often they lack the specific information concerning how to do it, or to what extent they need to take action.

And often, according to Hannah Brenkert-Smith (PhD, Soc'08) of the WiRē team, wildfire management policies try to be a one-size-fits-all approach, which doesn’t necessarily work.

"A common limitation we see is not that homeowners don’t know their homes are at risk of wildfire—they're often quite aware of that in a general sense—but where some of the information disconnect comes in is that people don't necessarily know the specifics," said James Meldrum (PhD, EnvSt'12), a research economist with the U.S. Geological Survey who is a member of the WiRē team, and, formerly, a research associate with the CU Boulder's Institute of Behavioral Science. "They might be taking action such as creating defensible space around their home, but they might not be doing it to the level that the practitioner would want them to be doing, or that would be as effective as it could be."

"We're seeing that providing that information really makes a difference."

Beyond just a lack of information, another barrier to mitigation efforts is the sheer initial cost of the endeavor. Research shows, however, that for every dollar invested in mitigation before a big wildfire disaster, society saves $4 in suppression costs when the wildfire burns.

"We believe that if more investment happens in the upfront side of things, supporting community risk reduction, that we can reduce impacts in local communities from major wildfires," said Brenkert-Smith, an environmental sociologist and research faculty with the Environment and Society program at the Institute of Behavioral Science. "But at this point in time, the machine to respond to fires is so big and so hungry that there are few dollars left to put on this front-end piece."

"And so, what we're trying to do is create a way—a systematic way—of investing dollars so that when wildfire programs and practices are underway, that they’re efficient, they’re tracking what works, and they're responding to the local context."

For the full text of the article, including supplemental videos, click here. 

Dr. Lori Peek – NYT Article – America’s Deathtrap Schools

In early April, Dr. Lori Peek was published in The New York Times with an opinion piece about the danger of natural disasters facing American schools.  

Last week, thousands of teachers in Oklahoma and Kentucky walked out of their classrooms. West Virginia teachers did the same thing in February, and Arizona may be next. They are protesting state governments that are failing to pay teachers a decent wage, replace outdated textbooks, ensure manageable class sizes and fix school buildings in need of repair.

But our schools have even bigger problems.

Every weekday during the academic year, more than 50 million childrenacross the United States enter public school buildings. Many of these buildings are so dilapidated and poorly designed that children’s health and safety are at risk.

Some are in floodplains or lack heat or air conditioning. Others lie near fault lines and haven’t been built to withstand earthquakes.

Young Americans are coming of age in a world that is drier and hotter than ever before. Wildfires, severe storms, floods and other environmental extremes will become more frequent and intense. Natural hazards, when combined with crumbling infrastructure, can lead to disaster.

Read the rest of the article here.

Beverly Kingston Interviewed in Coloradan Magazine

Stop the Violence

by Christie Sounart

Beverly Kingston (PhDSoc’05) directs CU Boulder’s Center for the Study and Prevention of Violence (CSPV). Here she discusses preventive measures for children and mass shootings, and what needs to be done for the violence to end.

Do you define violence the way the rest of us do?

I use the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s definition of violence, which says youth violence occurs when young people between the ages of 10 and 24 intentionally use physical force or power to threaten or harm others. At our center, we don’t only focus on violence. We also look at anything that gets in the way of positive, healthy youth development.

What attributes do violent people tend to share?

We talk about risk and protection factors, similar to risk factors for cancer or heart disease. The more risk factors you have, such as a teenager engaging with delinquent peers or weak prosocial ties, and the fewer protective factors you have, such as supportive parents, the higher the likelihood of problems and violent behaviors.

America seems especially violent. Why?

We’re not systematically addressing the underlying root causes of violence. We need to put resources into supporting the healthy development of our kids, our schools and our communities.

What can we do about mass shootings?

I use the tip of the iceberg analogy. At the tip are the shootings — what make the news. We were called quite a bit after Las Vegas, and what we say is, ‘You’ve got to look underneath.’ We know 20 to 25 percent of middle school students report being bullied in the past 30 days. Eighteen percent of our high school kids have seriously considered suicide in the past year. In middle school, it’s about the same. Twenty-three percent of high school students reported being in a physical fight in the past year at school.

There’s a lot of hurting kids, and a lot of lower levels of violence going on. Mass shootings are going to keep happening if we don’t take a comprehensive public health approach to addressing youth violence and these sufferings of our children. The good news is we know a lot about what works to prevent violence. If we were able to put into place what works, we could reduce violence by 30 percent.

Your work focuses on violence prevention in young people. Why’s that?

The best violence prevention begins early and continues through childhood and adolescence — we’ve tested effective programs to prevent violence throughout the life course. We also have intervention programs for those youth already engaged in violent behaviors that can substantially reduce the likelihood of serious violence and offer enormous cost savings to society.

Read the full article here. 

Colleen Reid: Smoke from distant fires darken the public health picture

Questions remain about the respiratory risk posed to a fifth of the United States population by increasing wildfires—but a CU Boulder researcher is trying to clear the air

It had already been an exceptional fire season across the American West by the time Montana’s Rice Ridge fire began.

It began in July 2017 as many western wildfires do, with a dry lightning strike on a parched patch of tree litter and other brush, igniting an inferno that stretched for miles and, by September, consuming an area almost twice the size of Denver and choking half the country with its thick smoke.

“It’s been described to me in apocalyptic terms,” Sarah Coefield, an air quality specialist with the Missoula City-County Health Department, told the Washington Post at the time about the area surrounding the fire.

The orange plumes of ash were so dense that Coefield commented in that same interview that, “Visibility has been down to less than a block.”

Miles away, that same thick, orange haze, accompanied by the ash of other wildfires in California, Oregon and Washington, heaved its way across the rolling hills of the Midwestern tallgrass prairies—and they weren’t alone in their suffocation.

Before all was said and done, this smoke—accumulated from dozens of wildfires—had hijacked the meandering jet stream, getting a first-class ticket to blanket more than 3,000 miles of middle America. It ultimately traveled as far east as New York and Pennsylvania and as far south as Texas, and illustrated yet another example of a new normal for those in and out of the Smoke Belt.

Wildfire smoke—like wildfire itself—is becoming more common and more powerful due to a changing climate, affecting communities from California to the Pacific Northwest, and from the Pacific Ocean east to the Great Plains. And yet, the documented public health effects of smoke remain relatively unknown, and, for what does exist in the research, inconsistent with a few important exceptions.

But a researcher at the University of Colorado Boulder seeks to change that, particularly for those distant fires that share their smoke.

"When we think about all of the things in the future that might be changing that influence wildfire risk and health impacts, there’s so many things," said Colleen Reid, an assistant professor of geography at CU Boulder who studies the impact of wildfire smoke on public health. "You can’t keep fire at bay."

The difficulty in discerning the health effects of smoke stems from the very nature of the plumes, and the U.S. approach to tracking it. Currently, there are air pollution monitors set up by the Environmental Protection Agency across the United States—often near metropolitan areas—with the goal of assessing whether air pollution regulations are working. These monitors, however, don’t always measure every day, meaning that if the wildfire is moving fast or the smoke is only hovering temporarily, they could miss the data from the high levels of smoke altogether.

Reid, though, approached this problem from three perspectives in order to improve understanding of the potential health impacts: She conducted a critical review of all existing literature on the public health impacts of wildfire smoke exposure, she researched the birth weight of babies whose mothers were exposed to smoke while pregnant, and then she specifically examined the 2008 California wildfires and their corresponding respiratory health effects for downwind populations.

At the time, the 2008 California wildfires were one of the largest fire events in the state’s history. Ignited by more than 6,000 lightning strikes, this fire event consisted of thousands of blazes raging across 26 counties in the northern half of the state.

As structures and trees burned, fine particulate matter—or the incredibly small, easily inhalable solid and liquid particles suspended in the air during a high pollution event—coated the state.

These particles—or what makes the "haze" of wildfires—aren’t just the remains of burned trees. They can also be the debris particles of human products like plastics, electrical wires and spray foam insulation, or anything else that may have gotten in the fire’s path. And, while just one of the many hazards that accompany wildfires and air pollution more broadly, it is in many respects the most dangerous for human health.

Particulate Matter is often measured in two forms: Particulate Matter 2.5 (PM2.5) and Particulate Matter 10 (PM10). PM2.5 are the fine inhalable particles that measure particles that are roughly 2.5 micrometers or smaller, while PM10 are roughly 10 micrometers and smaller. These particles—which are roughly the length of an E. coli bacterium and a single fog, mist or cloud water droplet, respectively—are so small that they can easily penetrate the lung's alveolar sacs, which are partly responsible for exchanging oxygen between the lungs and the blood stream, and corrode its walls.

In other words, they are able to bypass all of the body’s defenses, going straight into the blood.

Given this effect on the body, the World Health Organization has recommended that there be no minimum threshold where humans are safe to breathe in particulate matter from human-caused air pollution, which has been linked to 25 percent of lung cancer deaths, 8 percent of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) deaths and 15 percent of heart disease and stroke cases.

And the effects don't stop there. While sensitive populations—the young, the old, the sick—are much more vulnerable, even perfectly healthy people can feel the impact of high particulate matter through irritation to the lungs, eyes and skin, an increased risk of respiratory tract diseases and cardiovascular diseases, reduced lung function, the development of an irregular heartbeat, nonfatal heart attacks, and even premature death.

With wildfire smoke, there is a widespread consensus among researchers that these plumes do exacerbate respiratory diseases such as asthma and COPD and can cause an increased risk of death for sensitive populations, but in terms of the other effects, there is still a lack of agreement—particularly for those impacted downwind.

Right now, the EPA has the daily limit of all pollution related to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) set at 35 µg/m3 (micrograms per meters cubed). Ideally, with good clean air, the levels would be below 12 µg/m3. But, even at 35 µg/m3, most people (with the exception of sensitive populations) may not notice any sort of change or difficulty to their breathing.

"The fire that I studied, it (the particulate matter) maxed out close to 300 µg/m3. The Napa fires that were just happening… there were values in the 400s. So, it’s really, really bad," said Reid. "Even San Francisco and Oakland were getting levels that were in the high 100s, low 200s, and that’s an area that tends to have pretty good air quality. So, it’s much higher than they're used to."

For Montana, much like California, this was the summer of smoke, with Seeley Lake—near where the Rice Ridge fire took place—experiencing record levels of smoke at 18 times what the EPA deems safe, and even breaking the air monitoring device for five hours because the pollution was simply higher than the device's limit.

Despite this, the Front Range, and Colorado more broadly, was relatively clear and quiet. For most of the summer, the PM2.5 levels stayed within the healthy limit (normally between 0 and 20 µg/m3), well below the EPA's limit. When Montana’s smoke begun its thick descent into the Denver metro, though, the levels spiked to between 40 and 50 µg/m3. Boulder’s jump was even more impressive, getting above 50 µg/m3 for the week of exposure.

During that time, health officials at National Jewish Health in Denver told the Denver Post that they had seen an uptick in patients reporting a shortness of breath and coughing episodes, as well as Prednisone prescriptions—all of which are common during high air pollution events, called "Action Days," along the Front Range.

The possible health effects from those exposed during these Action Days—which are issued by the Colorado Department of Public Health & Environment for any number of air pollution issues, including any days with high particulate matter—are complicated, just like any issue related to public health.

"Severity is more related to the severity of the underlying disease than to the intensity of the exposure," said Karin Pacheco, an allergist at National Jewish Health and an assistant professor in environmental and occupational health at the University of Colorado Denver.

Similar to how healthy individuals can have differing reactions to differing levels, those among the sensitive populations—and particularly children who breathe much faster and are much more susceptible—can also have different reactions despite the original source of the pollution.

"It all is equally as horrible for the lungs," said Lauren Massie, an undergraduate student at CU Boulder in English who suffered from severe, childhood asthma, and still suffers complications if the air pollution is too bad. "I still need to take precautions."

Those recommended precautions to avoid the pollution, outlined by the CDC, tend to revolve around avoiding particulate matter in particular. They suggest, first and foremost, to check local air quality reports and visibility guides (which can be an indicator as to the level of particulates in the air). And, if there is anything, to stay indoors.

"Unfortunately, keeping safe on high smoke days means avoiding exposure," commented Pacheco.

Even inside, there are a number of steps that can be taken to keep the air clear, including keeping the fresh-air intake closed, avoiding any activities that might increase indoor pollution (such as using your fireplace or burning any candles) and keeping your HVAC air filter clean.

While thus far there have been no long-term health impacts linked to smoke exposure (like what has been seen with other high-particulate matter events), the reality is that there just isn't enough information or research yet. And, with the length of the wildfire season projected to triple, and hit closer than ever to major urban corridors due to human interference, a public health crisis of toxic air may be looming for the western United States.

Researchers, including Reid, are working on documenting these health effects for those downwind by improving the literature and watching different fire events closely, but the work is slow, expensive and extensive—and, she said, important.

"We’re always going to have wildfires in the West," acknowledged Reid. "So, we need to figure out how to protect health."

Lori Hunter: Does a changing climate affect when healthy people migrate?

Initial data suggest that it does have an effect, particularly among less-healthy populations, CU Boulder researchers find

A first look at the intersection of climate change and the relatively good health of new migrants—or “healthy migrant effect”— suggests that the changing climate might propel less-healthy people to migrate from Mexico to the United States, according to author Lori M. Hunter, a sociology professor and director of the Population Program in the University of Colorado Boulder’s Institute of Behavioral Science (IBS).

Hunter hopes the findings will spark interest from both other researchers and also policymakers as the “migration stream from Mexico is of political importance in these times.”

“We weren’t sure if we would find any associations, because no one had done this type of analysis before,” Hunter said. “We found intriguing interaction effects for migration, climate and health in two eco-regions, but the associations go in different directions.”

Previous work has illustrated a relationship between U.S.-Mexico migration and the overall health of migrants leaving Mexico. That is, healthier people tend to migrate more than less-healthy people, a trend that is sometimes attributed to migrants’ seeking means to support extended families who stay in place.

Hunter and co-author Daniel Simon, a graduate student in sociology and IBS, built on this established relationship between migration and health in their most recent paper, “Might climate change the “healthy migrant” effect?,” published in November in the journal Global Environmental Change.

In the paper, they analyzed data from the Mexican Migration Project on more than 6,000 households and identified their climate zones based on historic precipitation trends.

“Adding in climate change makes things a bit more perplexing,” Hunter said, “especially because of the difficulty putting together data sets that can connect all these dots.”

For instance, they found that drought in already dry areas appears to propel less-healthy people to move during environmentally challenging times, according to Hunter. By contrast, healthier people are more likely to move when there has been recent rainfall and agriculture is less challenged.

Even so, in extremely dry regions, that correlation is entirely missing, which may suggest that in areas where agriculture is consistently challenging, health is less influential for migration as both healthy and less-healthy people move regardless of recent drought or not.

Prior work by Hunter and colleagues found increased Mexico-U.S. migration following drought, without regard to the health of the migrants, which she believes is a very strong climate signal.

“People aren’t necessarily excited about picking up and moving. Migration is hard, and there are strong connections to home regions,” she noted.

But if those people have strong social networks in other locations, such as in the United States, migrating is much more plausible.

“Social networks play an important role in shaping migration streams,” Hunter said. “These moderately dry areas, where livelihoods are a lot less secure, have strong social networks.”  These networks facilitate migration when times are tough.

Hunter said that while this study is interesting, it is the first of its kind and more studies need to be done before anyone is sure that the three components—health, climate and migration—are truly interlinked. She said there is a scarcity of data on migrants, their health and the location of their home regions—all of which are necessary in order to connect climate information.

Still, the study is a place to start, Hunter said.

“If we think more carefully about the pressures that are pushing people across the border, maybe we can create programs that can help them to stay home,” she said.

“So many rural families are dependent upon agriculture; programs to make agriculture more sustainable—or provide other livelihood options—might actually reduce migration. In fact, given the U.S.’ role in contemporary climate change, helping those impacted could be considered part of achieving ‘climate justice.’”