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Baker, Schaffer Win Inaugural Seligson Prize from LAPOP for Paper

A paper entitiled "Clientelism as Persuasion-Buuying: Evidence from Latin America" which was co-authored by Andy Baker and Joby Schaffer has won the Seligson Prize from the Latin American Public Opinion Project. The Seligson Prize was founded to recognize excellence in Latin American scholarship, and was named in honor of Mitchell Seligson, the founder of LAPOP and a pioneer in the study of public opinion in Latin America. 

Here is the paper's abstract: 

In distributing clientelistic payoffs to citizens, the best strategy a party machine can pursue, we argue, is to target citizens who are opinion-leading epicenters in informal conversation networks. This persuasion-buying strategy carries the highest potential yield for the party because the payoff can create a social multiplier: The effect of the clientelistic gift can be magnified via the conversion of multiple voters within a payoff recipient’s personal networks. Using cross-sectional survey data from 22 Latin American countries and a panel survey from Mexico, we confirm that individuals who engage in frequent political persuasion and who are located in large political discussion networks are the most likely recipients of clientelistic payoffs. We also show that a finding that is key to previous theories, namely, that loyal partisans are the most likely targets of clientelism, is driven by omitted-variable and endogeneity bias.

The paper can be found here. 

More on LAPOP and the Seligson Award can be found here. 

David Pyrooz Research Featured in NYT Piece “Deconstructing the Ferguson Effect”

This is an exerpt from a New York Times article. A link to the full article can be found at the end. 

Deconstructing the 'Ferguson Effect"

By Shaila Dewan

It was a narrative that resonated with law-and-order advocates after the long August of 2014, when unrest followed the fatal police shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Mo. The police, vilified and facing a hostile public, were unable to do their jobs, leaving criminals to run amok. It was called the Ferguson effect.

Though based on thin evidence and met with fierce rebuttals, the theory keeps coming up. This month, Attorney General Jeff Sessions said some officers were “reluctant to get out of their squad cars.” He blamed intense public scrutiny, criticism, viral videos and “targeted killings of police.”

Some cities have seen disturbing increases in violence, and some officers have reported feeling under siege. But changes in the crime rate are notoriously difficult to explain: The decades-long decline in crime in the United States has been attributed to factors as disparate as mass incarceration, reduced exposure to lead paint and even the availability of legal abortions.

In perhaps the most global study, David C. Pyrooz, a sociologist at the University of Colorado Boulder, and his co-authors looked at crime rates in 81 large American cities in the year after Mr. Brown’s death and found no overall increase. However, in some cities — like Baltimore, New Orleans, St. Louis and Washington — there was a striking upward trend in homicides.

Read the full article from the New York Times here. 

IBS Director Myron Gutmann Presents COSSA Distinguished Service Award

During the 2017 Consortion of Social Science Associations Science (COSSA) Policy Conference & Social Science Advocacy Day, held in Washington D.C. on March 29th-30th, IBS Director Myron Gutmann presented Colorado Senator Cory Gardner with the Distinguished Service Award. According to COSSA, this award “recognizes leaders who have gone above and beyond to promote, protect, and advance the social and behavioral science research enterprise.”

About the award, Dr. Gutmann said "I'm delighted to see COSSA recognize Senator Gardner with its 2017 Distinguished Service Award in acknowledgment of his strong support for science in Congress. As the Director of CU Boulder's Institute of Behavioral Science, I'm especially grateful for Senator Gardner's support for social and behavioral science research, which addresses human-centered issues of national and global importance."

Read the full press release on Senator Gardner's website here. 

$3 Million Grant Awarded for Development of Trauma Responsive Schools

The Center for Resilience and Wellbeing in Schools at the University of Colorado Boulder’s Institute of Behavioral Science was launched October 1, 2017 with a five-year $3 million grant from the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration as a part of the National Child Traumatic Stress Network. The Center serves the Rocky Mountain region directly and will be national resource hub to promote safe, trauma responsive school environments.

Oxford University Press Releases New Book by Stefanie Mollborn

Stefanie Mollborn's book, Mixed Messages: Norms and Social Control around Teen Sex and Pregnancy, has just been released by Oxford University Press. See https://global.oup.com/academic/product/mixed-messages-9780190633288?lang=en&cc=us. A writeup of the book recently appeared in CU's Arts and Sciences Magazine: http://www.colorado.edu/asmagazine/2017/02/28/lets-not-talk-about-sex.

Here is an exerpt from the A&S Magazine Writeup:

"In the small, rural Ohio town where Stefanie Mollborn grew up, the prevailing message to teenagers about sex was straightforward: Don’t do it, because it’s morally wrong. In wealthier, liberal places like Boulder, the message tends to be different: Don’t do it, because you might jeopardize your bright future. And in conservative, wealthy communities, the message differs yet again: Parents may say one thing in public, then make more pragmatic decisions for their children in private.

“People throughout society are spending a lot of energy communicating message to teens about sexuality which are inherently mixed,” says Mollborn, associate professor of sociology at the University of Colorado Boulder. Mollborn conducted in-depth interviews with more than 50 college students from across the United States, as well as 75 teen mothers and fathers in the Denver metro area, in researching her new book “Mixed Messages: Norms and Social Control around Teen Sex and Pregnancy,” due from Oxford University Press in March. 

Although the teen-pregnancy rate in the United States has been declining for the past two decades, it remains higher than for any other developed nation, according to the Guttmacher Institute. The U.S. rate for 2011 was 57 pregnancies per 1,000 girls and women aged 15-19, compared to the next highest, New Zealand, at 51 and England at 47, and the lowest, the Netherlands, Slovenia and Singapore, all at 14.

Larger disasters ‘inevitable,’ says new Natural Hazards Center director

The following is an exerpt from an article originally published in CU Boulder Today. A link to the full article can be found at the bottom of the page.

By: Lisa Marshall

In the days following 9/11, frightened college students across the country gathered around TVs to get a sense of what was happening in New York City.

Lori Peek, who was just starting her third year of graduate school at CU Boulder, also watched the catastrophe unfold from afar. But soon after the twin towers fell, she packed her bags and flew into the chaos.

"I’d never been to New York or even ridden a subway before," recalls Peek, a research assistant at the Natural Hazards Center at the time. "But I understood it was vital that I get into the field quickly to collect valuable information that would otherwise be lost."

Fast forward 16 years and Peek, who in January returned to Boulder to direct the center, has amassed a unique body of research on how disasters – from terrorist attacks to tornadoes – impact the lives of the vulnerable and marginalized in the days and years to follow.

Her two-year study of the impact 9/11 had on Muslim Americans led to an acclaimed book, Behind the Backlash: Muslim Americans after 9/11. Her work in the Gulf Coast after Katrina and the BP oil spill and Joplin, Missouri – home to the deadliest tornado in 70 years – led to community interventions that help teens better prepare for and recover from disasters. And her 2015 book Children of Katrina, a 7-year project completed with fellow sociologist Alice Fothergill, has been lauded as a groundbreaking exploration of children's long-term recovery.

Peek has no doubt that larger, more destructive disasters are yet to come, due to growing populations in geographically vulnerable areas, unsustainable development and climate change. After spending a decade as a faculty member at Colorado State University and having traveled around the world studying the aftermath of disaster, she returned to the Natural Hazards Center – the nation's clearinghouse for disaster research – to apply the lessons learned.

"We’re in a race, trying to figure out how to work with communities to make them more resilient and be sure that, when disaster strikes, those that are already struggling aren’t left behind," says Peek, also a professor in the sociology department. "To be at this center at this particular time in our nation's history represents an incredible opportunity to work with others to have an impact."

Read the full article in CU Boulder Today. 

CU Boulder researchers win USAID grant to examine backpedaling democracies

This article was originally published in the Colorado Arts and Sciences Magazine. You can view the original article here. 

Article by: Clay Evans

President John F. Kennedy signed the Foreign Assistance Act in 1961, for the first time separating federal budgets for defense and non-defense spending and creating the U.S. Agency for International Development, or USAID.

“The amount of money that is involved in the nonmilitary areas are a fraction of what we spend on our national defense every year,” Kennedy said, “and yet this is very much related to our national security and is as important dollar for dollar as any expenditure for national defense itself.”

More than six decades later, USAID provides more than $20 billion annually — less than 1 percent of the federal budget — about a quarter of it to non-governmental organizations working in Asia, Africa, Latin America and beyond in its efforts to “end extreme global poverty and enable resilient, democratic societies to realize their potential.”

Perhaps not surprisingly, the money doesn’t always achieve desired results. In fact, it tends to promote moderate political participation through formal mechanisms such as voting only in democratic societies where institutions already are working well, says Carew Boulding, associate professor of political science at the University of Colorado Boulder and author of “NGOs, Political Protest, and Civil Society,” published by Cambridge University Press.

“My research has shown that where historically aid allocation is assumed almost always to lead to more democratic engagement, the evidence has shown that a lot of that engagement is really contentious,” Boulding says.

“That’s certainly not what (USAID) expected. The assumption is that they are giving to NGOs to help build civic engagement in a moderate, institutionalized way.”

Now, Boulding and Associate Professor of Political Science Andy Baker have been awarded a USAID grant to find out why. With help from five graduate students, they will conduct a massive literature review to examine what happens to citizen engagement when previously liberal democratic nations become more repressive.

The researchers hope to get a clearer idea of what citizens can do in such scenarios. Are there spaces for them to express themselves via the internet? How do they vote when elections continue but are highly restricted? How do they engage when protest activity is heavily regulated?

The review will focus on cases from the 20th and 21st centuries, from the collapse of Weimar Germany to recent backsliding in countries such as Venezuela and Ecuador. The researchers will locate appropriate literature from academic journals and annotate some 200 articles. Boulding and Baker will write a summary focused on three questions:

  • What enables civic and political participation in countries where civil liberties have been lost? 
  • How do forms of civic and political engagement in such contexts differ from forms of engagement in contexts in which civil liberties are protected? 
  • Are some forms of civic and political engagement generally more tolerated in newly repressive contexts than others? How do civic actors adapt their engagement tactics to achieve their objectives? 

“For years academics have been telling policy makers and practitioners that they need to listen to academics, read the research, and distribute aid in a way that recognizes best practices, what works, what doesn’t work, and follows the cutting edge of the most rigorous research,” Baker says.

“This is USAID putting its money where its mouth is.”

China, while infamous for its repression of protest and citizen engagement, doesn’t make the researchers’ list because it is a “stable authoritarian” nation lacking recent history as a democracy. But China does provide insight into just how difficult it is for governments to control information flow and protest, Baker notes.

“The internet is like a giant sieve; there is only so much dictators can control what is said and done there,” he says. “China has had some success, but they have tens of thousands of people whose job it is to sit at a desk all day and troll the internet and be the speech police. That level of repression is very costly.”

A quarter-century later, it’s clear that political scientist Francis Fukuyama’s declaration of “the end of history” following the collapse of communism, and “the universalization of Western liberal democracy as the final form of human government” was premature.

Even in the United States and Europe, liberal democratic ideals once considered the foundations of Western society have been weakened, particularly in the post-9/11 era.

“It’s easy to believe that democracy is just naturally stable,” Boulding says. “This project is looking at the ways in which democratic freedoms can be undermined even in seemingly stable systems like the U.S.—and the ways in which citizens can push back.”

IBS Study: Mother’s milk changes with the seasons, influencing baby’s well-being

This article was originally published by CU Boulder Today. You can read the full original article here. 

By: Lisa Marshall

Seasonally-influenced changes in a mother’s environment and diet can have a profound impact on levels of beneficial sugars in her breast milk, in turn altering the bacterial makeup of her baby’s gut and shaping his or her health and growth.

That’s the conclusion of a first-of-its-kind study designed and co-authored by Robin Bernstein, an associate professor of anthropology at CU Boulder.

“This study helps us better understand how a woman’s environment might influence the composition of her milk and how the composition of her milk might have real-life consequences for her baby,” said Bernstein, who has traveled to Gambia in West Africa for six years to organize the collection of thousands of samples of mother’s milk and infant fecal material for research.

The study – co-authored by researchers from the University of California Davis and the United Kingdom-based Medical Research Council (MRC) and published in January in the journal Scientific Reports – analyzed samples from 33 mom-baby pairs taken at four, 16, and 20 weeks postpartum, along with growth and health information for the infants. The researchers found that during the wet season, when food was scarce and stressors were high, women’s breast milk contained on average 20 percent fewer human milk oligosaccharides (HMOs) – complex sugars that serve as key food sources for babies’ gut bacteria.

The kinds of HMOs present in the milk and the kinds of bacteria present in the infants also changed from season to season, and with those changes sometimes came changes in infant wellbeing. For instance, babies exposed to more of the sugar lacto-N-fucopentaose (LNFP1) tended to get sick less. Those exposed to greater levels of the sugar 3’-sialyllactose tended to show a healthier growth pattern. Babies with higher levels of the Dialister, Prevotella and Bifidobacteria genera of bacteria tended to avoid illness. Those with high levels of Bacteroides bacteria showed higher levels of intestinal inflammation.

A true cause-and-effect conclusion would require further studies with a larger sample size, the authors stress.

Continue reading the full article here. 

New Book by Michael Radelet Featured in the Denver Post

The History of the Death Penalty in Colorado, a new book written by Michael Radelet and published by the University Press of Colorado, was featured recently in The Denver Post, in an article entitled "Regional books: The death penalty, terrorism and treason." The author of the piece, Sandra Dallas, praised Radelet's ability to engage his readers, saying "In what could have been a dismal treatise, Radelet turns this fact-filled book into an absorbing history of Colorado’s flirtation with legal killing." You can read the full article here.